Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 91.007291 101.416327 112.044676 123.678420 136.024605 148.707688 162.693056
2024-12-29 75.574235 90.626606 106.650256 124.857049 144.853795 166.038955 190.072072
2025-01-05 66.964265 84.773319 104.310203 127.089581 152.686932 180.348501 212.289670
2025-01-12 58.362293 77.814878 99.765056 125.964578 156.003895 189.023058 227.722704
2025-01-19 50.436197 70.801729 94.422395 123.246049 156.911572 194.487524 239.110306
2025-01-26 47.377376 69.233277 95.122154 127.238882 165.260617 208.166613 259.593344
2025-02-02 44.196975 67.194293 94.998316 130.035021 172.038895 219.918181 277.790295
2025-02-09 39.509406 62.873213 91.783855 128.852321 173.904331 225.815069 289.120947
2025-02-16 35.361624 58.922813 88.756388 127.654785 175.548371 231.292216 299.833451
2025-02-23 32.610886 56.614435 87.627767 128.649403 179.712322 239.644849 313.836028
2025-03-02 29.681034 53.837202 85.717547 128.514066 182.379398 246.133190 325.585148
2025-03-09 27.508137 51.957047 84.852657 129.596939 186.462924 254.258750 339.235470
2025-03-16 24.617934 48.867329 82.263930 128.401066 187.702586 258.994701 348.941462
2025-03-23 22.992609 47.532731 81.968786 130.126892 192.569512 268.119622 363.914687
2025-03-30 21.670343 46.553714 82.086568 132.337460 198.010458 277.925655 379.705714
2025-04-06 19.408567 43.927444 79.765877 131.195971 199.098811 282.334634 388.941707
2025-04-13 16.874637 40.638193 76.329342 128.406709 197.952019 283.893534 394.646176
2025-04-20 16.469648 40.856662 77.954690 132.500888 205.721483 296.535229 413.889979
2025-04-27 15.763429 40.502425 78.702222 135.367042 211.883959 307.180506 430.713658
2025-05-04 14.068756 38.277902 76.565183 134.154788 212.640468 311.016070 439.153006
2025-05-11 12.517347 36.160296 74.480504 132.927214 213.308552 314.691743 447.361492
2025-05-18 11.598636 35.134731 74.015050 133.946787 216.935150 322.094690 460.180537
2025-05-25 10.502085 33.660806 72.777427 133.808059 218.973458 327.456961 470.456097